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national poll to see where the race is tightening slightly in romney's favor. the most important number may be romney's 47%. the deep dive down memory lane for the good, bad and ugly of the modern presidential debate, the winners, losers, zingers and the awkward that help decide. good morning from the university of denver. a beautiful campus here, debate day, wednesday, october 3. this is "the daily rundown." i'm chuck todd. let's get to my first read. everything has been said about the importance of tonight's debate. now it is up to the candidates themselves who will meet on the university of denver on the same stage. romney has inched up slightly in our "wall street journal" poll. the bad news when you dig deeper you see the structural problems facing romney as he tries to catch up and how damaging the 47% remark was and is to the campaign. is there such a thing as a commanding lead? if so he has it. president obama's job approval rating is at 49%. 48% disapprove of his performance. 40% believe the country is headed in the right direction. the highest number we recorded in 3 1/2 years. 53
new poll numbers show mitt romney's secret video is crushing his campaign. >> i'll never convince them they should take personal responsibility. >> richard wolffe on how aggressive the president needs e to be on the 47% tape. >>> mitt romney's billionaire base is starting to lose their cool. >> we need leadership, not criticism. we need encouragement, not discouragement. >> e.j. deon on why billionaires who do so well under obama can't stand the president. >>> and democrats with a victory for voters in pennsylvania, but republican voter fraud is getting swept under the rug here in colorado. tonight the latest on the rnc's voter fraud scandal. >>> good to have you with us. thanks for watching. we're coming to you tr from denver, colorado. the first presidential debate one day away. this is the romney pre-game show. will mitt romney be held accountable for lies and distortions about president obama's record? we got a sneak preview of what happens when mitt romney is forced to tell the truth. a fox affiliate here in denver asked romney to explain what paul ryan could not, how he plans to
-- >> romney's numbers are unequivocal on a personal level. more people dislike him than like him on a personal level. people will say, okay, we'll go if you show us the map. i think romney's been hurt the last several of months by his lack of specificity about what he's going to do on taxes and spending. >> his big numbers is i'm going to cut taxes and stimulate the economy. but hes i'll pay for it by getting rid of huge deductions, homeowner deduction, charitable contribution, state and local tax, that's where all the money is. if he doesn't tell us that tonight, will the press attack him for not giving us the map? >> one of the things we've seen is voters are skeptical. he says, i'll cut tax rates by 20% across the board. it's revenue neutral. we can't tell you how it's revenue neutral, because as paul ryan said, it will take too long. >> will obama go after him, like kennedy did in '94? he'll say, mr. governor, that's what people want. >> we can't talk about the president's strategy. he has to stay cool. if jim lehrer doesn't do it, if the moderator doesn't do, it then the president may hav
within those numbers, problems for romney. >> yeah. i mean first of all let me say i love duel in denver. i'm a big fan of that one. i think andrea, look, last week there was a ton of polling both in swing states and nationally that i think caught barack obama sort of at the apex of the bounce he had received post-convention and post a couple bad weeks for mitt romney and mitt romney at the nader of where he could possibly be in a race where you have the country as divided as it is. the fact that things are moving back towards at the national level, 49/46, i think should not be terribly surprising. i continue to believe the problem for mitt romney is not national polling. it is swing state polling. nbc/marist, you put out data this morning, close in several states but still in ohio, mitt romney down by 8 points among likely voters. i think that's very problematic for him. if he loses ohio getting to 270 electoral votes becomes not impossible but much more difficult. >> at the same time in the national poll, right track up to 40%, still not great, but it's the highest number we've seen in
. the numbers parallel each other. after the republican convention are, romney took 47% of the vote. kerry, 48% of the vote. after the in-party convention, both obama and bush took a big lead e to date you not very much evidence that romney has yet assembled the number of voters that he will need to take the presidency. now, if that -- if these parallels continue, you would expect romney to make some gains over the next few days in the aftermath of the first presidential debate. the challenger does tend to make gains afterwards, largely because there are late tent supporters that switch to undecided after the in-party convention. the problem for romney, after his own convention, he only went to 47% of the vote f something similar happened this time, woe still trained he will need something better than what kerry got last time that is, real change in the race where old obama supporters switch to romney's side some far, we don't see much evidence of that. >> well, you know, nate, you go back to april when romney wrapped up the republican nomination and the look at that real clear politics pollin
. obama has to defend numbers but so does romney. >> eric: what number does he have to defend? >> bob: how he will cut taxes and balance the budget? >> dana: he has a good answer. obama has a tougher time explaining how in 2008, he ran on one thing regarding taxes. in 2010 he changed his mind to protect his tail. then now his whole plan is against what he said in 2010, is worst thing to do for the country. >> bob: that debate has been out there and argued over and over for four years. the question is how romney says he will, not going to lose money cutting taxes because he is going to take away loopholes. he refuses to answer one question about the loophole. obama will push him. he should. >> greg: mitt has to say why did you cancel pipeline with 8.2% unemployment? >> bob: i'll answer if that if you answer which loopholes you will cut? >> dana: there you go again. >> bob: simple question, what loopholes are you going to cut on wealthy people? coming up, president obama uses heavy, heavy hollywood hitters in a new ad. ♪ >> women will help decide this election. >> i find a champion in pres
the debates than mitt romney. that number very consistent with other surveys, as we have seen over the last couple of weeks. what about next week? we're the only people who asked about next week's showdown between the vice presidential candidates. look at this. who would have the upper hand, biden or ryan, paul ryan of wisconsin according to our poll. so something a little extra i just gave you there, not just tonight's debate, i'm looking ahead to next week. >> paul ryan will not be saying who am i and why am i here? he is plenty well known out there. >> i guarantee you, yes. >> let's talk about the issues. a lot of times the horse race takes over the headlines and the distractions as they're called by critics. but what are the voters saying when we call them and we ask them the pointed questions about the actual issues who is winning on the issues alone? >> on the economy, which is the most important issue in the minds of americans, basically divided on this. look at this. you mentioned there are six segments tonight, three on the economy, that's probably right. what is most important iss
number may be mitt romney's big opportunity though. let's discuss with our chief political analyst gloria borger. are these debates, gloria, always harder for incumbents? >> i think it is. you look at the expectation game. people understand that president obama is a great speaker, they've seen him do other debates in the past. and they kind of remember them and think he's the sitting president, he'll do a better job. so he's got expectations running against him. then the other thing for the challenger is remember, wolf, this is really the first time that mitt romney and barack obama will be at the same level. so just by showing up to a certain degree mitt romney gets elevated standing on the same stage with the president. and here's another thing about the president, he has to defend his record without seeming to be defensive about it. and that's, you know, that's not an easy thing to accomplish. so he's got a big job tonight. >> mitt romney's got a huge job as well. what do you expect he will try to do? >> well, i've been talking to some senior romney advisors this past week. one advisor
, but the numbers are much closer. >> he's behind because this has become a referendum on. on >> obama and romney are expected to take part in debut more debates on october 16 and october 22. once tonight's debate on abc 7 news followed by full analysis on abc 7 news at 11:00. brianne carter reporting. >> we want you to tell us what you think during the debate as you are watching. we are launching an instant reaction feature on our website. go to the web site at and weigh in on it and see what other viewers are saying as well. for complete debate wrap up, abc 7 news at 0:00 tonight. >> -- at 11:00. >> today marks president obama's wedding anniversary. the first lady will be in the audience tonight in denver. they will hold a delayed anniversary celebration on saturday. the presidential campaign asking supporters designed an electronic anniversary card. >> the nationals will take on the phillies in less than an hour in the last game of the regular season. >> the season went so fast. jummy olabanji is live at nationals park with the latest. >> good afternoon. even before the gates opened, plenty of
, a big fight. >> erick, i would like to start with you, you heard the poll numbers, what does romney have to do in order to overcome those expectations? low expectations? >> apparently not much. i hate the expectation games with debates. you know, these guys are both competent professionals. the spin they try to put out that, oh, mitt romney is better than me or barack obama is better than me, he just, one, needs to give up the trying to look pleasant and likable. he's been trying to do this now for a year and he hasn't been likable. show up, be competent, show you can do the job and be nice to the president the same way the president needs to be nice to you. by the way, i have my iphone and have not seen purple yet. >> richard, would you agree with that? in an article in "usa today" it say os obama has a disadvantage because they traditionally don't do well in the debates, the sitting presidents. >> i think it is a very important night for both of these men. the challenge for president obama is like the challenge he's had at all the crucial moments in the campaign. much the same challeng
romney's job number one tonight? >> well, if he was out here, shepard, his job number one would be to stand upright in the wind. since he he is going to be inside, i think his job is to go large about the issues and about the choice before the american people in this election. you know, vice president biden was right. they the middle class has been buried and debt and regulation and taxes. we need to free them up and empower them. i think governor romney is going to present the choice and is he going to say what he would do about it. >> a lot of republicans, sir have said that governor romney, 47% remark is one that needs a button on it. it's one that needs an explanation and a turning point for him to get past it. how might he do that tonight? >> well, again, i think the answer is to go large and let the american people see his heart, his concern for what's happening to the middle class. i mean, you know, half the kids getting out of school can't get a job. and this has been going on for years. and then to talk about what he wants to do about it. you know, i just think he needs
tonight? >> number one, governor romney will be the most prepared person on that stage. secondly, he will have the deepest depth of knowledge on that stage. i know that firsthand from going up against him. and here's the other thing i don't think a lot of people are expecting. his likability will come through because he has gotten a bad rap about this likability factor. but he will be the most prepared. he will also have the most depth of knowledge and he will have every opportunity to back obama into a corner on all of the major issues. >> let me ask you on that, backing him into a corner. romney had some spectacular debates, not all of them. but in florida he took newt gingrich out. newt gingrich no slouch at debating or intellect for that matter. and then later on he took out rick santorum. it's like he had a machete in his hand and he knocked these guys down. is it possible he might do the same thing about president obama who is rusty, has not had a debate and has had people fawning over him for four years? >> i don't think he's rusty because he spent a lot of time campaigning an
number we've recorded in three and a half years. let's move to the head-to-head with mitt romney. this is where the race has tightened a bit. the president's number is steady at 49. mitt romney has picked up a couple in the last couple weeks, sits at 46. what's helping him? republican voters more enthusiastic, they make it through the likely voter screen. it's been a couple tough weeks for mitt romney. that 47% mark has left a mark, if you will. when we asked, is there anything you've heard in the last few weeks that made you more favorable or less favorable on mitt romney, 51% said what they've heard has made them less favorable. that said, the president has a couple things not going for him on the issue of libya and egypt. more people disapprove of how he's handled the situation than approve. but the overarching theme here, brian, and why is the president in a commanding small lead? 57% tell us the economy is in recovery. highest number we've recorded on that question. >> chuck todd already in denver, part of our team on the ground there. and he'll be part of our on air nbc new
in the numbers for a while now, romney has a problem among latinos and women and in particular, you know, the latino demographics, 70/20 are terrible numbers. bill clinton got the highest percentage of the hispanic vote in '96, 72%. looks like the president is on track to do that. you see these piecemeal efforts from the romney campaign. cantor media reports romney ran 2100 -- 2,169 spanish language ads from mid april to the end of august. he ran 2,855 in the first 23 days in september. >> yeah. well look, i think when -- if romney loses and we go back and do the autopsy you're going to start to see the depth of his campaign, you can trace it back to the primaries when rick perry joined the primaries and came at him and the way we took perry down, he made a fool of himself but what did at least as much damage romney attacking perry on immigration and saying he was soft and weak and he was going to be tough on immigration, talked ability self-deportation and this language. that is damage he has never repaired. that seemed to form and solidify way back in the winter and spring, and i just
were scandalous, the polling impact of them is now showing up directly at a time when mr. romney's egregiously bad polling numbers seem to be calcifying and when most voters are now starting to vote. an incredibly negative impact for romney and his campaign at a difficult time for them. now on the eve of the first presidential debate, if they were hoping to put that behind them, any hope of getting away from the issue has now been expunged because "the huffington post" tonight set off its own bells and whistles, flashing siren bomb shell by posting previously uncirculated video of paul ryan speaking less than a year ago. and what will effect the debate tomorrow is mr. ryan in these comments makes the same case romney was making when he made the devastating 47% remarks. in ryan's case, he doesn't use the 47%. he picks a different figure. for him the figure is 30%. you may remember ryan himself his response to that disastrous tape of mr. romney at the fundraiser was that romney was, quote, obviously inarticulate in making his point about the proportion of americans who are dependen
president barack obama and governor mitt romney. >>reporter: megan, a number of political pundits say tonight's debate from colorado could go a long way towards separating these two candidates currently lock inside a very tight race. the campaigns, though, are downplaying the expectations between the squareoff involving president obama and governor romney. both candidates have spent the past two days prepping with their campaign advisers, focusing on the likely questions they'll face as tonight's topics include domestic policy, especially the economy. governor romney has been preparing in denver and says tonight's debate will not be about finding a definitive winner. >> in my view, it's not so much winning or losing, or even the people themselves, the president or myself, it's about something bigger than that. these debates are an opportunity for to discuss a pathway forward for america that we would choose. >>reporter: the president has been practicing outside oflation. to his supporters he remains confident, but he's not underestimating his opponent. >> governor romney, he's a good
to midnight. we will see you tomorrow. >>> mile high showdown. as president obama and mitt romney prepare for tonight's crucial debate, our brand new poll numbers show where they stand. >>> midair mess. another incident of loose seats on an american airlines flight and now the company says it knows why. >>> and shock value. daredevil magician david blaine goes high voltage in his latest stunt. good morning, everyone, i'm lynn berry. those stories and more straight ahead. this is "first look" on msnbc. >>> and we're going to begin this morning with high stakes debate. all eyes turned to denver for tonight's first presidential debate of the 2012 race. and a new nbc/"wall street journal" poll finds president obama is hold on to his national lead. but not by very much. 49% of likely voters favor the president. while 46% prefer mitt romney. that's only a 3% edge for obama which is within the survey's margin of error. but when it comes to a pool of registered voter, the president widens his lead over romney by 7 points, 51% to 44%. now a national survey says the nation is headed into the right
. as president obama and mitt romney prepare for tonight's crucial debate, our brand new poll numbers show where they stand. >>> mid-air scare. another incident of loose seats on an american airlines flight, and now the company says it knows why. >>> and shock value. daredevil magician david blaine goes high voltage in his latest stunt. captions paid for by nbc-universal television >>> good morning. i'm lynn berry. today we begin with a high stakes debate. all eyes turn to denver for tonight's first presidential debate of the 2012 race, and a new nbc news "wall street journal" poll shows president obama is holding on to his national lead, but not by much. 49% of likely voters favor the president while 46% prefer mitt romney. that's only a 3% edge for obama, which is within the survey's margin of error, but when it comes to a poll of registered voters the president widens his lead over romney to 7 points, 51% to 44. and, finally, four in ten surveyed now say the nation is headed in the right direction. that's the highest amount since june 2009. meanwhile, both candidates took a break from their d
problem is his 47% remark. the numbers in the new nbc poll are simply awful for romney. can you do anything in five weeks to negate their impact? >> you know, they have broken through -- >> oh, thank you. >> they've broken through. you know, this was a point in 2008 when something similar happened with john mccain. he couldn't recall in an interview how many houses or properties he owned. that became a sort of explaining narrative for all sorts of reasons why, and this may sound familiar, why he seemed out of touch. this 47% video resonated to a greater degree than john mccain not remembering how many homes he owned. so, if you have failed at this point to explain who you are, if you have another version of that story out there, you cannot undo it in one debate. you can try and engage with people directly to camera, but mitt romney is also going to want to land some punches. that's going to take time away from his job, number one, which should be telling people, for once, who he really is. >> i think that may be intentional. john, this is how romney's running mate paul ryan address
's, but whatever. he has a jobs plan, a number of things of specifics he can point to whereas romney doesn't. i think that will be part of the contrast the president will be going for. i think romney's only defense on that, since i don't think he'll give us specifics, is rhetoric and to make it sound like he has a plan. >> do you agree with that, mike? >> i think both have holes in specifics. the president hasn't been very clear about what he's going to do to social security, to medicare. romney hasn't either but it's not like one candidate totally filled out that ballot. i think this is a situation where mitt romney comes in with a much bigger hill to climb but yet more opportunity. in minds of a lot of people they're thinking of 47%, they're thinking of -- they're thinking of the sort of monty burns car ka tour. what debates are good at are getting through caricatures. this is one time in the cycle we'll get the two candidates standing next to each other and cuts through caricature and the falsehood as well. >> john, part of romney's strategy -- >> reporter: me? >> yes, john. >> reporter: i w
.w. bush. you see the numbers in florida, virginia and ohio. in all three states, his favorable numbers are below 50%. and those 47% comments have certainly taken a toll on mitt romney as well. for people registered voters who were given a full description of those comments, after hearing that full description, 45% had a more negative view of mitt romney. 23%, a more positive view. >> you think the open was too sports centery? >> i liked it. >> good. peter alexander in denver. thanks so much for bringing our debate day power panel. now, we asked all of you in advance for your pointers for each of the candidate and we're going to put those up on the screen as we talk about this. so joy, i want to start with you. let's show the tips you have for governor romney about the type of performance he needs to deliver on. don't try too hard. don't get too snippy. this is a tall order. you are trying to see mitt romney cast that leadership vision and in an area where there's a lot of pressure. >> they telegraph it, romney has these zinger plan, but i think the risk is that he gets too desperate to
didn't get the memo that romney sucks at this. >> i think you will see the numbers start to move right back in the other direction. >> in whole race will be turned upside down come thursday morning. >> what are you doing, christi? >> for god's sake if romney fails to meet those heavy expectations he will lose the general election creating chaos in the republican party and leave out 2016 -- oh! >> the jersey is strong in this one. >> so all these guys to have a mild familiarity with the english language and it is considered a win. can we hear from someone not affiliated with the campaigns, what their expectation might be? >> both men have a monumental undertaking for the first debate, one of them has to come off as nicer and less air began than he really is and the other has to be zero more normal and lestrange than he really is. >> jon: then how did we end up with these two idiots? look, we are not looking for coherent ideology, americans are just looking for assurance the next president isn't going to be a weirdo. who thinks she better than us. how exactly will romney counter the ide
% in only 20. the average number is 47 mitt romney is 47. the media says the race is over. eight years ago at the same time thereafter 30 polls bush was at or above 50% john kerry was five points behind in "the new york times" said it is too close to call. he is at or above the number half the time and two and a half times as much this is the blowout? no. it is a close race. obama's problem he cannot get 50% the number on the election day is likely to be less than your final number because your detractors will vote against you. gerri: it is about the spin. thank you for coming. enjoy the debate. pundits and politicos debates of the long run but they cannot blasted the memorable moments. number 51992. vice presidential showdown with james stock dale. >> admiral stock dale? >> who am i? why am i here? [laughter] [applause] gerri: that moment lead to ridicule and the saturday night live skit he only decided to participate one week prior and did ask the moderator to repeat the question. number four. out course. >> i get something positive done on behalf of the people. that is the question not
question for the romney campaign in a week. if the ohio numbers don't move, there is a strong case to be made. joe, you and i walked through this path, that he's got a path to 270. al gore had to make this decision in 2000. do you pull out of ohio? do you take the beating that you'll take for a day or two going oh, my god, you've pulled out of ohio just like al gore did in 2000. guess what? al gore made the right call. he almost pulled it off. some think he did pull it off by taking all those ohio resources, pouring them into florida, pouring them into michigan, pouring them into pennsylvania. does a dollar in ohio wasted versus a dollar in colorado versus a dollar of extra money in a wisconsin? that's going to be an interesting, i think, decision that the romney campaign -- it's business -- that they may have to make in a week. if you see no movement there. as far as your early vote question, iowa, in particular, democrats have had this advantage. you know, they won iowa early because of early voting in 2000. bush did a better job of it in '04. and they were able to squeeze it out
when elected, is that challenge number one for mitt romney tonight? >> i think it is. i think, well, two challenges, one, explain to people that three and a half to four years is long enough for president obama's policies to work. they haven't worked. so something is wrong. and mr. obama doesn't have a clue about how to fix it or change it. two, mr. romney has to put forward a program which says in detail what i'll do. look, when reagan was running in '80 and again in '84, he had an extremely detailed, specific set of plans, programs, principles. we're not seeing that from mr. romney. a few generalities, but i want to see some specifics and i want him to connect each one up with how many jobs it is going to give us. >> you're looking for specifics tonight. what about, though, as you mentioned the economy, what about the battle for the middle class? you have joe biden as -- let me just play this clip in case our viewers haven't seen it, he really stepped in it yesterday when he said this was in charlotte. >> this is deadly earnest. how they can justify -- how they can justify raising
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 133 (some duplicates have been removed)